10-year Treasury Yield and Odds of Recession

The chart of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond below shows that the yield has not broken below 4.40% for over one year.

Market watchers now believe that the 4.40% could be broken as the economy is showing inflation under control and longer term interest rates seem less likely to increase significantly. The ongoing flight-to-quality to [...]

Short Term U.S. Treasury Yields Fall Crazily

In only five days the yield on the 1-month Treasury Bill has fallen from 4.18% to 2.47% as an enormous amount of money has poured into the very shortest U.S. Treasury terms available.
8/1/2007
1-month T-Bill - 5.05% yield3-month T-Bill - 4.89% yield6-month T-Bill - 4.96% yield
8/20/2007
1-month T-Bill - 2.47% yield3-month T-Bill - 3.12% yield6-month T-Bill - [...]