Recession? Americans, economists, itrade.com say yes! Bush and his Administration say No.

The US economy will grow in 2008 and avoid a recession despite a lingering housing slump and a related credit crunch, White House economists said Monday. The annual “Economic Report of the President” is claiming that the US economy will avoid recession and grow in 2008 contrary to what a consensus of economists believe. Citing [...]

The Bank Rates They Are A-Changin’

The Fed has walloped the United States with massive rates cuts of 125 points in a 10-day span on the realization that the U.S. economy is in a recession. The Fed noted the slowdown in the housing market and labor market as contributing to the economic malaise. The prime rate, which banks use as their [...]

10-year Treasury Yield and Odds of Recession

The chart of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond below shows that the yield has not broken below 4.40% for over one year.

Market watchers now believe that the 4.40% could be broken as the economy is showing inflation under control and longer term interest rates seem less likely to increase significantly. The ongoing flight-to-quality to [...]